Rule sma-50-volcap · hypothetical backtest + forward record

Every entry and exit, on every coin.

Green arrows are entries, red arrows exits, the dashed line is the 50-day average the close must stay above, and blue shading marks the days in a position. Violet arrows come from the sealed forward record once a day's contents are revealed.

Price, the rule's line, entries and exits

daily candles · log scale · drag or pinch to zoom

entryexit50-day averagein a positionforward record

Per-coin numbers treat the coin alone under the rule (from 2018, or from its listing), after 0.15-0.20 % per side. The tested book is BTC+ETH together; its curve is below.

Book: BTC+ETH rule vs BTC held

growth of 1 · log

ruleBTC held

Drawdown from the last high

rule vs BTC held

ruleBTC held

Scorecard: did the rule beat just holding?

Every day of the record is settled automatically against Kraken's daily closes 1, 7 and 30 days later, and every settlement is chained and sealed like the record itself (/api/settlements). The scores below count only days that are already revealed, and they are recomputed each day after the close - losses included.

Loading the scorecard...

Trade list

EntryEntry closeExitExit closeCoin moveDays

Hypothetical. These entries and exits are the published rule applied to past Binance daily candles; nobody made these trades. Past and simulated results do not predict future results. This is research and software output, not investment advice - see risk.